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278,490 views·4732 replies·by movetheboat·First Post·Latest
longcast

Interesting read - but.............

The [weakness of the economy]('https://www.nytimes.com/2024/02/15/business/uk-economy-recession.html') has put pressure on the central bank to cut interest rates. Britain’s [[SIZE=5]unemployment rate[/SIZE]]('https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peopleinwork/employmentandemployeetypes/bulletins/employmentintheuk/april2024#unemployment')[SIZE=5] rose more than expected in its latest reading[/SIZE], published this week.

This presents a “difficult balancing act” for the Bank of England, Jake Finney, an economist at PwC, wrote in a note. Slowing inflation puts pressure on the bank to cut rates [SIZE=5]“to get the economy growing again,” he said, but policymakers probably want “more conclusive evidence that we have achieved a sustainable return to target before they pivot to rate cuts.”[/SIZE]

[SIZE=4]Here in the US, the economy added 300K+ jobs. But what kind of jobs? They are calling it "migrant" labor, additional government jobs, health industry (government funded), "second and third jobs" for folks trying to get out from under record inflation.

Watch the earnings reports. Dig down into how much of the higher payroll jobs were cut to get better earnings.

The other day, Goldman was the darling on WS. But in the fine print, they released 2% of the workforce to achieve that report. And those were high paying jobs. [/SIZE]

Lastly, this administration in an election year will not allow any media to say the economy is in trouble, blah blah blah.

Rigged?
Interference?

Look at the story regarding NPR.

AdmiralOriginal Crew20,417 postsSince 2019
Roccus7
Roccus7MODnoreaster.com2024#4022

UK thing is interesting in that they’re talking about a sustained drop in inflation, not a bouncing one. They could probably use some loosening of the purse strings.

The US has yet to show that kind of profile.

Shall I go to heaven or a-fishing? - H. D. Thoreau
Veni. Vidi. Cepi. - with apologies to Gaius Julius Caesar
AdmiralOriginal Crew21,717 postsSince 2018
longcast

UK thing is interesting in that they’re talking about a sustained drop in inflation, not a bouncing one. They could probably use some loosening of the purse strings.

The US has yet to show that kind of profile.

It is not just inflation. Unemployment is rising, and the economy is faltering.

AdmiralOriginal Crew20,417 postsSince 2019
longcast

[URL unfurl="true"]https://www.foxbusiness.com/economy/commercial-real-estate-foreclosures-jumped-march-trouble-looms[/URL]

About $1.5 trillion in commercial mortgage debt is due by the end of 2025, but steeper borrowing costs, coupled with tighter credit conditions and a decline in property values brought on by remote work, have increased the risk of default.

Roughly $929 billion worth of commercial real estate loans are set to mature this year, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association. Borrowers may have no choice but to refinance with significantly higher interest rates or sell their properties at a steep loss.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell said in March that commercial real estate woes will likely lead to some bank failures, but do not pose a larger threat to the financial system.

"We have identified the banks that have high commercial real estate concentrations, particularly office and retail and other ones that have been affected a lot," Powell said while testifying on Capitol Hill. "This is a problem that we’ll be working on for years more, I’m sure. There will be bank failures, but not the big banks."

AdmiralOriginal Crew20,417 postsSince 2019
longcast

[URL unfurl="true"]https://www.yahoo.com/finance/news/happen-us-economy-no-rate-205756556.html[/URL]

AdmiralOriginal Crew20,417 postsSince 2019
longcast

[URL unfurl="true"]https://finance.yahoo.com/news/vanguard-warns-10-treasury-yields-102457409.html[/URL]

AdmiralOriginal Crew20,417 postsSince 2019
longcast

[URL unfurl="true"]https://www.foxbusiness.com/economy/us-national-debt-tracker[/URL]

AdmiralOriginal Crew20,417 postsSince 2019
longcast

[URL unfurl="true"]https://finance.yahoo.com/news/tesla-earnings-q1-175358835.html[/URL]

AdmiralOriginal Crew20,417 postsSince 2019
longcast

[URL unfurl="true"]https://finance.yahoo.com/news/asia-stocks-set-fall-meta-224829802.html[/URL]

AdmiralOriginal Crew20,417 postsSince 2019
wader
waderFREE2024#4035

it was a blood bath................

"Well, it's alright.
.............even if you're old and gray."
"Well, it's alright.
............you still got something to say."
AdmiralOriginal Crew20,900 postsSince 2018
longcast

it was a blood bath................

Bidenomics

AdmiralOriginal Crew20,417 postsSince 2019
wader
waderFREE2024#4037

Bidenomics

***[SIZE=6]BDS
:rolleyes:[/SIZE]***

"Well, it's alright.
.............even if you're old and gray."
"Well, it's alright.
............you still got something to say."
AdmiralOriginal Crew20,900 postsSince 2018
longcast

***[SIZE=6]BDS
:rolleyes:[/SIZE]***

Really you say? How foolish you are. Fresh from a McDonalds menu this morning.

attachment 79187

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AdmiralOriginal Crew20,417 postsSince 2019
longcast

[URL unfurl="true"]https://finance.yahoo.com/news/tech-reverses-us-stock-losses-225338150.html[/URL]

AdmiralOriginal Crew20,417 postsSince 2019
longcast

[URL unfurl="true"]https://finance.yahoo.com/news/exxon-misses-q1-profit-despite-103000851.html[/URL]

AdmiralOriginal Crew20,417 postsSince 2019

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