Hurricane Awareness

This is a very tough forecast with the system heading towards the Bahamas. It is fighting dry air once again. Also a cold front is going to stall and the system is going to slow down. Have to see the timing of the tropical wave and the cold front. What concerns me if this makes landfall going to have the moisture from the stalled out front and the low associated with it and the moisture from the tropical wave and we could be looking at alot of rain. Or simply it could go ouf to sea and we get swells.

Starting at 2pm i will update every 3 hours if conditions warrant. Looking at a possible 2 day event this Monday and Tuesday. Still plenty of time to look at it. Nothing set in stone. Will update in an hour and a half.

Right now the U.S. mainland is not predicted to be impacted by anything more than heavy surf.

Next update 5pm.

Next update when I get up

90 percent chance will be a depression or storm today or tomorrow

2pm next update neither became a depression at the 11am update

5pm next update

That would be Imelda.

I’m thinking this is the one to watch

humburto will become a cat 3

I will be doing around the clock updates on both systems i am surprised they haven't named imelda yet. Its a 90 percent chance now.