Hurricane Awareness

8am next update

1. A tropical wave is expected to emerge off the west coast of Africa later today. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development of this system thereafter, and a tropical depression is likely to form by late this week while it moves westward at 10 to 15 mph across the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

2. An area of low pressure is forecast to form by midweek a couple of hundred miles north of the southeastern or central Bahamas as a tropical wave interacts with an upper-level trough. Some gradual development of this system is possible thereafter, and a tropical depression could form later this week while the system moves north-northwestward or northward across the western Atlantic.Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Very active

NICHOLAS BECOMES A HURRICANE BRINGING HEAVY RAINS, STRONG WINDS, AND STORM SURGES TO PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND UPPER TEXAS COASTS

NICHOLAS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS ACROSS THE DEEP SOUTH DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS

coast.

1. A tropical wave located just west of the African coast is
producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms that are
showing signs of organization. Environmental conditions are
forecast to be conducive for gradual development of this
disturbance over the next several days, and a tropical depression
is likely to form by the weekend while the system moves westward at
about 15 mph across the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

2. An area of low pressure is expected to form by midweek a couple of
hundred miles north of the southeastern or central Bahamas as a
tropical wave interacts with an upper-level trough. Some gradual
development of this system is forecast thereafter, and a tropical
depression could form later this week while the system moves
north-northwestward or northward across the western Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

11am next update

5pm update

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[TD][LEFT]**[Weather Outlook]('https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATWOAT+shtml/141742_MIATWOAT.shtml') ([en Español]('https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/SJUTWOSP+shtml/141221_SJUTWOSP.shtml')*)**
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[TD]...NICHOLAS MOVING SLOWLY EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE HOUSTON METROPOLITAN AREA... ...LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE DEEP SOUTH DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...[/TD]
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Last update on Nicholas

Nicholas is only moving 6 mph flash flood warnings and emergencies are happening. Could see over 20 inches of rain I texas hopefully this doesn't stall.

8pm next update