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Hurricane Awareness

107,052 views·2484 replies·by Bassmaster·First Post·Latest
cany
canyCOMMUNITYnoreaster.com2023#1121

Th

True - but that's only for public consumption. Imagine for a minute, if you will, someone actually having an inside track to the weather folks! Game changer and advanced intel. Pretty powerfull.

Ill say so.................. But thats not saying much for never getting an accurate forecast But then most times the best of them dont until the last minute

General cany, Watching always Watching
CornField
AdmiralOriginal Crew41,107 postsSince 2018
cany
canyCOMMUNITYnoreaster.com2023#1122

I might go stay at Moms place in FLA FOR this one might be safer there

General cany, Watching always Watching
CornField
AdmiralOriginal Crew41,107 postsSince 2018
Chinacat

Ill say so.................. But thats not saying much for never getting an accurate forecast But then most times the best of them dont until the last minute

And sometimes not until the minute after or next day after the storm
That’s often times the most accurate

At least I'm enjoyin' the ride.....
CommodoreOriginal Crew7,065 postsSince 2018
cany
canyCOMMUNITYnoreaster.com2023#1124

And sometimes not until the minute after or next day after the storm
That’s often times the most accurate

Yup and this is their job but they do try hard but the weather will do what it wants

General cany, Watching always Watching
CornField
AdmiralOriginal Crew41,107 postsSince 2018
cany
canyCOMMUNITYnoreaster.com2023#1125

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General cany, Watching always Watching
CornField
AdmiralOriginal Crew41,107 postsSince 2018
Bassmaster

Lee will gradually strengthen into Fri, then look for rapid intensification Fri night and over the wknd as Lee moves right under 200 mb high (low wind shear). Certainly cat 5 status is certainly possible early by early next week. Maps shows are 500 mb and 200 mb fri night

CaptainOriginal Crew4,960 postsSince 2019
longcast

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That’s a lot of spaghetti !!!

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AdmiralOriginal Crew20,417 postsSince 2019
Tigashrk

I get my weather from her. No idea what she’s saying but she’s just as accurate as Jimmy I think. attachment 67659

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First MateOriginal Crew689 postsSince 2019
Bassmaster

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CaptainOriginal Crew4,960 postsSince 2019
Chinacat

Time will tell if it continues toward the coast between FLA and carolina's and bounces out to see or turns northward before that

At least I'm enjoyin' the ride.....
CommodoreOriginal Crew7,065 postsSince 2018
Bassmaster

Tropical Storm Lee will likely become the first Category 5 hurricane in the Atlantic in 2023 this weekend as it explosively intensifies.

Some hurricane models suggest the storm could reach historically strong levels (170+ mph) as it moves through a low wind shear environment with the Atlantic waters still at record hot levels.

CaptainOriginal Crew4,960 postsSince 2019
jpd
jpdMODnoreaster.com2023#1132

Almost all of these guesses are good news...

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A lawyer with his briefcase can steal more than a hundred men with guns- Mario Puzo
CommodoreOriginal Crew9,876 postsSince 2018
cany
canyCOMMUNITYnoreaster.com2023#1133

Who knows who guesses the blue one?
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General cany, Watching always Watching
CornField
AdmiralOriginal Crew41,107 postsSince 2018
Bassmaster

I am issuing a "Windshield wiper warning" for Lee late nxt wk.There will be swings back & forth with modeling, the same swings that occur with snowstorms.I am focusing on the strength/positioning of the incoming trough late next wk to determine the track.

CaptainOriginal Crew4,960 postsSince 2019
cany
canyCOMMUNITYnoreaster.com2023#1135

I am issuing a "Windshield wiper warning" for Lee late nxt wk.There will be swings back & forth with modeling, the same swings that occur with snowstorms.I am focusing on the strength/positioning of the incoming trough late next wk to determine the track.

Do you have the authority to issue that warning?

General cany, Watching always Watching
CornField
AdmiralOriginal Crew41,107 postsSince 2018
CELLFISH

NO , he dosent have the authority…
.
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... sand under my bare feet is better than subway steps with steel toe boots on... cellfish...
.
CommodoreOriginal Crew18,289 postsSince 2019
wader
waderFREE2023#1138

[URL unfurl="true"]https://www.yahoo.com/news/meteorologists-project-tropical-storm-lees-150210250.html[/URL]

*Tropical Storm Lee is not forecast to impact the United States at this time, [CBS Miami reported]('https://www.cbsnews.com/miami/news/tropical-storm-lee-forms-central-atlantic-hurricane-late-week/?ftag=YHF4eb9d17'). CBS Miami chief meteorologist and hurricane specialist Ivan Cabrera Lee said the storm system is expected to turn to the north and away from the U.S. coast, but weather experts will continue to monitor its progress and track it closely.

Spaghetti weather models, or spaghetti plots, are computer models showing the possible paths a storm may take as it develops. These models don't predict the impact or when a storm may hit, [according to the Weather Channel]('https://weather.com/science/weather-explainers/news/spaghetti-models-tropics-tropical-storm-hurricane?ftag=YHF4eb9d17'), but focus on showing which areas might potentially be at risk.

[Spaghetti models]('') for Tropical Storm Lee mostly show the storm traveling over the ocean. Some paths might take the storm close to the Leeward Islands. A [recent spaghetti model]('') for Tropical Storm Lee created at 6 a.m. ET Wednesday shows most projected paths curving northward and remaining out over the open Atlantic, but a few veer more to the west for a potential impact in the islands or along the U.S. Mid-Atlantic or New England coast next week.

Meteorologists expect to get a clearer picture of the storm's likely path as it continues to develop in the coming days.*

"Well, it's alright.
.............even if you're old and gray."
"Well, it's alright.
............you still got something to say."
AdmiralOriginal Crew20,900 postsSince 2018
Bassmaster

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CaptainOriginal Crew4,960 postsSince 2019
Chinacat

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So is it still on track for a direct hit to LI in your opinion?

At least I'm enjoyin' the ride.....
CommodoreOriginal Crew7,065 postsSince 2018

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